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Telwares in the media: Infoworld
February 17, 2012America’s wireless broadband problem just got a lot worse - FCC veto of LightSquared’s plans for massive wireless network may have also put the brakes on widespread 4G deployment.
The issue of America’s crumbling infrastructure isn’t just about bridges, highways, and railroads. It’s also about the overburdened cellular networks that power our wireless broadband and have become an indispensable part of our lives and our economy.
“Everyone wants an aggressive broadband rollout and they want it quickly, but demand has accelerated to the point that innovative solutions are going to hit roadblocks like interference,” says Michael Voellinger, a vice president at the Telwares telecommunications consultancy. “We’re still dealing with an antiquated spectrum strategy, and the risk is there for some serious time and money to be wasted — which appears to be the case for LightSquared.”
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Facebook and Skype: Something old, something new
July 7, 2011Yesterday, Facebook announced its video chat feature in concert with Skype as part of a larger redesign of their chat functionality – including uplifts to the interface. On the surface, this isn’t groundbreaking. Google offers video calling, Skype has a solid business model and installed base of users, and Facetime is gaining steam in the iOS realm. Two observations stand out from this product launch. First, Microsoft’s purchase of Skype makes even more sense thanks to a quote from Mark Zuckerberg at yesterdays launch. ”We have a very longstanding relationship with Microsoft,” said Zuckerberg, who noted that Facebook had actually been working with Skype prior to Microsoft’s acquisition. Any questions about Skype valuation, and the price Microsoft paid, can be put to bed. 750 million Facebook users just entered the fold of access, and the innovation potential is high.
Second, since no blog entry is complete without mentioning Google, group video chat is not available on Facebook’s service. Google Hangouts (part of Google+) supports this functionality and in the short term, will be a differentiator. Great products are born from great competition, and Facebook will close this functional gap quickly.
Enterprise Considerations
I have the unique opportunity to engage with many CIOs through the Telwares CIO Global Forum, and the topic of using social media to uplift the customer experience (and revenues) is a tremendous hot button. Introducing video to the social mix, on a very practical level, adds complexity to achieving uplift. Facebook by nature is both personal and business for many users. Think about training requirements, dress code, policy on harassment, legal exposure, and bandwidth consumption. On the strategic side, how do you leverage the video component to uplift service in the context of a social platform? Draw pictures? The value for now will come from the intimacy of the interaction, and brand uplift from embracing a cutting-edge service. While both have intrinsic value, they don’t necessarily provide the hard ROI necessary for capital or operating investment.
For now, both Facebook and Google have viable roadmaps for video. Both organizations are extremely nimble and I would expect refinements to video features from both organizations. How consumers and enterprise adopt the functionality, since they are community-driven, depends on one simple question: who do you want to talk to?
Verizon to announce iPhone offering today
January 11, 2011According to multiple sources, including the Wall Street Journal, Verizon will formally announce later today the carrier will begin offering the Apple iPhone at the end of January. This will mark the end of AT&T’s exclusivity deal with Apple regarding the devices, but also represents a pivotal moment for both AT&T and Verizon in terms of Wall Street and network performance.
The impact to AT&T could be substantial given the network capacity and quality issues that subscribers have reported, leading to frustrations that could result in a switch of service providers. Quarterly churn numbers could jump significantly if there’s a mass exodus from AT&T, but that’s not likely. A vast majority of AT&T’s installed base of iPhone users are tied to family or corporate plans, making it more difficult to switch without prohibitive financial penalties.
The network capacity and quality issues caused by an overwhelming amount of data traffic on AT&T’s network could replicate themselves on Verizon’s network as well. While Verizon maintains their network is ready to handle the demand, there’s no guarantee and no way to predict what actual demand will be. For example, several studies have cited that Android users (the bulk of Verizon’s non-Blackberry smart phone portfolio) use more data than current iPhone users on AT&T’s network.
Perhaps the most significant difference (and differentiator) in the network offerings of AT&T and Verizon is the ability to talk and use data simultaneously – an advantage AT&T has leveraged in the marketplace since launching 3G services. This functionality is important to many subscribers, and may prove problematic for Verizon if the majority of potential new subscribers are not aware of the technology difference.
The most interesting metric to observe, if the announcement happens as planned, will not be the bleeding of customers from AT&T to Verizon – it will be the battle for market share between Android, Apple and RIM in the Verizon customer base.
Given the announcement is still pending, Telwares believes:
- Verizon will announce the iPhone with an unlimited data plan, attempting to lure dissatisfied AT&T users across carrier lines and attracting smart phone upgrades within their installed base of subscribers.
- Verizon will have 7 to 9 million iPhones in its subscriber base by the end of 2011.
- Verizon will not experience the network issues that AT&T has endured; all service providers are now beyond the shock factor of data usage from smart phones, and Verizon has the advantage of the lessons learned from AT&T’s deployment.
- AT&T’s quarterly churn numbers will be moderately impacted, but will not drastically impact stock price during 2011.
Telwares Mobility Leader Speaks on Handset Evolution at Interop
October 14, 2010Telwares EVP Michael Voellinger will address the accelerating diversity in mobile handsets and operating systems at Interop New York, happening Oct. 18-22 at the Javits Convention Center. http://www.interop.com/newyork/conference/wireless-and-mobility.php
Voellinger will be a featured panelist in a thought leadership session titled “Darwin and the Handset: Who Survives?” from 11:30 a.m. to 12:30 p.m. on Thursday, Oct. 21. He will be joined by representatives from Research in Motion and Sprint on the panel, moderated by Michael Finneran, principal of dBrn Associates.
The session will tackle tough questions faced by enterprise technology executives:
- Which wireless platforms will survive?
- What will these look like going forward?
- How can the enterprise successfully plan the evolution of mobility given these shifting sands?
“Mobility is becoming an essential component of every organization’s IT strategy,” says Interop GM Lenny Heymann. “At Interop New York, we’ll explore perspectives and best practices from the leaders driving them in the marketplace.”
Telwares advises enterprises globally on technology, infrastructure, convergence, policy, sourcing and expense management. “The tremendous diversity between wireless devices and platforms makes mobility management extremely challenging for enterprise communication technology professionals,” Voellinger says. “Compounding these challenges, organizations must adapt and innovate as tech-savvy end users insist on bringing their consumer technologies into the workplace, and leverage those technologies to solve business issues.”
“Mobile diversity is one of the drivers of a new holistic approach by IT organizations,” notes Telwares CEO Charlotte Yates. “The collision of SaaS, cloud services and consumer-based technologies means today’s CIO needs to focus more on the alignment of business enablement and technology than ever before,” she adds.
Interop® drives the adoption of technology, providing knowledge and insight to help IT and corporate decision-makers achieve business success. Part of UBM TechWeb’s family of global brands, Interop is the leading business technology event series. Through in-depth educational programs, workshops, real-world demonstrations and live technology implementations in its unique InteropNet program, Interop provides the forum for the most powerful innovations and solutions the industry has to offer. For more information about these events, visit http://www.interop.com/.
Smart Phone Sales Projections Raised
September 10, 2010Mobile phone vendors are projected to ship 55.4% more smart phones this year than they did in 2009, according to the International Data Corporation (IDC) Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker.
IDC raised its projection 10% from its previous forecast after several new models were released recently, including the BlackBerry Torch, EVO 4G and iPhone 4, the research firm explains in a press release. Device vendors are now expected to ship 269.6 million smart phones this year, up from the 173.5 million sold in 2009.
While a majority of those devices will be sold to consumers, enterprise IT departments will continue to see increases in the number of requests they get to support individually purchased smart phones.
Android and iOS devices have stolen market share from traditional players like RIM and Microsoft, and Android is on track to be the fastest-growing operating system over the next five years, IDC’s study reveals.
Android will cut into Symbian’s share, but expect Symbian to retain its leadership in smart phone sales, IDC says. Windows Mobile is projected to regain lost share and BlackBerry devices will retain their current level of popularity, while iOS phones will decline gradually, the study finds.
The smart phone market will remain fragmented, supporting as many as five operating systems during the next five years.
The booming yet fractured smart phone market makes it even more critical that enterprises understand, evaluate and take action on their mobility strategies including device procurement, policies, liability models and expense management, Telwares’ mobility experts add.
Enterprises should also be actively planning on the integration of mobile end points into their overall network strategy. More devices are hitting the market every day that can support and satisfy end-user computing requirements, and this will have a drastic impact on planning, sourcing, implementing and managing next-gen networks.
RIM and Nokia Fight Back after Apple Press Conference
July 19, 2010Apple CEO Steve Jobs had to know he was opening a can of feisty worms when he accused RIM, Nokia and other handset manufacturers of the same antenna design flaw that’s haunted the launch of Apple’s iPhone 4.
Users report dropped calls and weakened signals when holding Apple’s iPhone 4 a certain way. Jobs defended the phone at a July 16 press conference and offered free “bumpers” to prevent signal disruption.
Jobs tried to deflect criticism by characterizing antenna problems as a challenge faced by the whole wireless industry, and then pointed to alleged similar flaws with the BlackBerry Bold 9700, HTC Droid Eris and Samsung Omnia II.
It took only hours for RIM to defend its BlackBerry antenna design:
“Apple’s attempt to draw RIM into Apple’s self-made debacle is unacceptable,” say RIM co-CEOs Mike Lazaridis and Jim Balsillie in an official statement posted on Crackberry.com. “Apple’s claims about RIM products appear to be deliberate attempts to distort the public’s understanding of an antenna design issue and to deflect attention from Apple’s difficult situation.”
“RIM has avoided designs like the one Apple used in the iPhone 4 and instead has used innovative designs which reduce the risk for dropped calls, especially in areas of lower coverage,” Lazaridis and Balsillie continue. “One thing is for certain, RIM’s customers don’t need to use a case for their BlackBerry smart phone to maintain proper connectivity. Apple clearly made certain design decisions and it should take responsibility for these decisions rather than trying to draw RIM and others into a situation that relates specifically to Apple.”
Nokia also fought back with a statement. As reported by Engadget:
“We prioritize antenna performance over physical design if they are ever in conflict,” Nokia says. “Antenna performance of a mobile device/phone may be affected with a tight grip, depending on how the device is held. That’s why Nokia designs our phones to ensure acceptable performance in all real-life cases, for example when the phone is held in either hand. Nokia has invested thousands of man hours in studying how people hold their phones and allows for this in designs, for example by having antennas both at the top and bottom of the phone and by careful selection of materials and their use in the mechanical design.”
It’s unlikely that we’ll see the end of the antenna scandal soon. In the meantime, Telwares’ mobility experts urge enterprises to take the same measured approach to deploying the iPhone 4 as they would any other brand, carrier or platform. There’s no fundamental need for a change in direction for any enterprise evaluating the merits of deploying the iPhone to its user community.
Telwares instructs enterprise organizations that have already deployed the iPhone 4 to closely scrutinize their commercial agreements with AT&T to determine device support from multiple channels, how they can approach implementing the remedies Apple has outlined with minimal business interruption and the contractual implications where the need to terminate specific services exists.
Defensive Jobs Hosts iPhone 4 Press Conference
July 16, 2010The iPhone 4 “antennagate” scandal has been blown out of proportion, Apple CEO Steve Jobs insisted when he took the stage at an Apple press conference held today to address complaints about the device.
Users report dropped calls and weakened signals when holding the phone a certain way. Jobs countered that more than 3 million iPhone 4s were sold in the three weeks since the iPhone 4 launched, and that it’s received the highest customer satisfaction rating of any iPhone or any smart phone, Engadget reports.
Antenna problems are a challenge faced by the whole wireless industry, Jobs says, as he pointed to alleged similar flaws with the BlackBerry Bold 9700, HTC Droid Eris and Samsung Omnia II.
Jobs also acknowledged that iPhones use a faulty algorithm to calculate signal strength. But even the updated algorithm in a forthcoming software update will show a signal strength decrease when the phone is held the wrong way.
But the degradation is slight, Jobs maintains: The iPhone 4 drops one more call per 100 than the iPhone 3GS. Only 0.55% of iPhone 4 users have called AppleCare to report signal degradation, and 1.7% of iPhone 4s have been returned – a decrease from the 6% of iPhone 3GSs returned.
Apple will attempt to combat the negative publicity by giving away free cases to mitigate the antenna problem and issue refunds to users who bought the cases proactively. Users can also return the iPhone 4 for a full refund (and no restocking fee) within 30 days of purchase. Jobs indicated he thinks AT&T will refund money spent on its service contracts when users return iPhone 4s.
Here’s the bottom line for enterprises: There’s no fundamental need for a change in direction for any enterprise evaluating the merits of deploying the iPhone to its user community, according to Telwares’ mobility experts.
The issues and challenges faced by some end users on the iPhone are not drastically different than any other brand, carrier or platform. The same measured approach to deploying any enterprise technology still applies and is not altered based on the data available today.
Telwares instructs enterprise organizations that have already deployed the iPhone 4 to closely scrutinize their commercial agreements with AT&T to determine device support from multiple channels, how they can approach implementing the remedies Apple has outlined with minimal business interruption and the contractual implications where the need to terminate specific services exists.
Posted by Michael V